Leveraged Dual Momentum ETF compounded at +38.5% a year from 2018-07-18 to 2026-10-02, with a worst drawdown of -57.2% (very high drawdown). It ranks 25 of 27 re-run strategies by drawdown, shallowest first.
| Max drawdown | -57.2% |
|---|---|
| CAGR (annualized) | +38.5% |
| Sharpe | 0.89 |
| Total return | +1349.4% |
| S&P 500 (SPY), same period | not in this run |
| Return ÷ drawdown | 0.67 |
| Period | 2018-07-18 – 2026-10-02 (8.2 years) |
| Risk tier | Very high drawdown |
| Drawdown rank | 25 / 27 |
Equity curve of a $10,000 start.
The worst peak-to-trough fall was -57.2%: a $10,000 account would have dropped to about $4,279 at that point before recovering. The +38.5% CAGR is the annual rate that compounds the start value into the end value over 8.2 years; the return-to-drawdown ratio of 0.67 says how many points of annual return each point of worst-case loss bought. Compare strategies on that pair, not on CAGR alone.
Re-run on 2026-10-04 with the strategy's current code on historical prices — a systematic take on Dual Momentum (Relative + Absolute). Numbers change when the strategy is re-run on newer data. The full write-up explains the rules.
All strategy backtests, lowest drawdown first
Disclosure. Backtests are hypothetical simulations on historical data. They do not include every real-world cost, are not live results, and do not guarantee future returns. Educational research only, not investment advice.