Same-Weekday Return Continuation backtest

Same-Weekday Return Continuation compounded at +12.9% a year from 2016-10-21 to 2026-10-02, with a worst drawdown of -27.0% (high drawdown). It ranks 14 of 27 re-run strategies by drawdown, shallowest first.

Backtest results

Max drawdown-27.0%
CAGR (annualized)+12.9%
Sharpe0.66
Total return+233.8%
S&P 500 (SPY), same period+259.7%
Return ÷ drawdown0.48
Period2016-10-21 – 2026-10-02 (9.9 years)
Risk tierHigh drawdown
Drawdown rank14 / 27

Equity curve of a $10,000 start, with SPY dashed.

How to read this backtest

The worst peak-to-trough fall was -27.0%: a $10,000 account would have dropped to about $7,301 at that point before recovering. The +12.9% CAGR is the annual rate that compounds the start value into the end value over 9.9 years; the return-to-drawdown ratio of 0.48 says how many points of annual return each point of worst-case loss bought. Compare strategies on that pair, not on CAGR alone.

Where the numbers come from

Re-run on 2026-10-04 with the strategy's current code on historical prices — a systematic take on Same-Weekday Momentum. Numbers change when the strategy is re-run on newer data. The full write-up explains the rules.

Strategies with a similar drawdown

All strategy backtests, lowest drawdown first

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Disclosure. Backtests are hypothetical simulations on historical data. They do not include every real-world cost, are not live results, and do not guarantee future returns. Educational research only, not investment advice.