Tsallis Entropy Weight Optimization backtest

Tsallis Entropy Weight Optimization compounded at +17.8% a year from 2016-10-21 to 2026-10-02, with a worst drawdown of -19.0% (moderate drawdown). It ranks 7 of 27 re-run strategies by drawdown, shallowest first.

Backtest results

Max drawdown-19.0%
CAGR (annualized)+17.8%
Sharpe1.02
Total return+411.3%
S&P 500 (SPY), same period+321.2%
Return ÷ drawdown0.94
Period2016-10-21 – 2026-10-02 (9.9 years)
Risk tierModerate drawdown
Drawdown rank7 / 27

Equity curve of a $10,000 start, with SPY dashed.

How to read this backtest

The worst peak-to-trough fall was -19.0%: a $10,000 account would have dropped to about $8,096 at that point before recovering. The +17.8% CAGR is the annual rate that compounds the start value into the end value over 9.9 years; the return-to-drawdown ratio of 0.94 says how many points of annual return each point of worst-case loss bought. Compare strategies on that pair, not on CAGR alone.

Where the numbers come from

Re-run on 2026-10-04 with the strategy's current code on historical prices — a systematic take on Maximum Entropy Portfolio Selection. Numbers change when the strategy is re-run on newer data. The full write-up explains the rules.

This strategy is also paper-traded in the AI Trading League

Strategies with a similar drawdown

All strategy backtests, lowest drawdown first

Go further

Disclosure. Backtests are hypothetical simulations on historical data. They do not include every real-world cost, are not live results, and do not guarantee future returns. Educational research only, not investment advice.