Volatility targeting & hedging strategy backtests, lowest drawdown first

These strategies control risk by sizing rather than by picking: they scale exposure down when realised volatility rises, or cap the downside of the position with an option collar. The goal is a steadier equity curve, so judge them on drawdown and Sharpe before CAGR.

3 strategies. Median max drawdown 19.6%, median CAGR 17.8%. Shallowest drawdown: Tsallis Entropy Weight Optimization (-19.0%). Highest return per unit of drawdown: Tsallis Entropy Weight Optimization (0.94).

By asset class: US stocks & ETFs 3.

Max drawdown →CAGR ↑0%22%18%

Each dot is one strategy: further left is a shallower worst fall, higher up is a higher annual rate. The upper-left corner is where return came with the least drawdown.

Backtests, lowest drawdown first

#StrategyMax drawdownRisk tierCAGRSharpeReturn ÷ drawdownPeriod
1Tsallis Entropy Weight Optimization-19.0%Moderate drawdown+17.8%1.020.942016–2026
2Volatility Managed Index Portfolio-19.6%Moderate drawdown+11.9%0.820.612016–2026
3Systematic Option Collar-21.5%Moderate drawdown+18.3%1.060.852016–2026

Re-run 2026-10-04.

Frequently asked questions

Which Volatility targeting & hedging strategy had the lowest drawdown?

Tsallis Entropy Weight Optimization, with a worst fall of -19.0% and a CAGR of +17.8% from 2016-10-21 to 2026-10-02.

Which Volatility targeting & hedging strategy earned the most per unit of drawdown?

Tsallis Entropy Weight Optimization: +17.8% CAGR against a -19.0% max drawdown, a return-to-drawdown (Calmar) ratio of 0.94.

Are these live trading results?

No. Each number comes from re-running the strategy's current code on historical prices. Backtests leave out some real costs and do not predict future returns.

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Disclosure. Backtests are hypothetical simulations on historical data. They do not include every real-world cost, are not live results, and do not guarantee future returns. Educational research only, not investment advice.