Velocity Strength Filter backtest

Velocity Strength Filter compounded at +17.6% a year from 2016-10-21 to 2026-10-02, with a worst drawdown of -27.4% (high drawdown). It ranks 15 of 27 re-run strategies by drawdown, shallowest first.

Backtest results

Max drawdown-27.4%
CAGR (annualized)+17.6%
Sharpe0.84
Total return+403.3%
S&P 500 (SPY), same period+321.2%
Return ÷ drawdown0.64
Period2016-10-21 – 2026-10-02 (9.9 years)
Risk tierHigh drawdown
Drawdown rank15 / 27

Equity curve of a $10,000 start, with SPY dashed.

How to read this backtest

The worst peak-to-trough fall was -27.4%: a $10,000 account would have dropped to about $7,255 at that point before recovering. The +17.6% CAGR is the annual rate that compounds the start value into the end value over 9.9 years; the return-to-drawdown ratio of 0.64 says how many points of annual return each point of worst-case loss bought. Compare strategies on that pair, not on CAGR alone.

Where the numbers come from

Re-run on 2026-10-04 with the strategy's current code on historical prices — a systematic take on The Velocity Strength Filter. Numbers change when the strategy is re-run on newer data. The full write-up explains the rules.

Strategies with a similar drawdown

All strategy backtests, lowest drawdown first

Go further

Disclosure. Backtests are hypothetical simulations on historical data. They do not include every real-world cost, are not live results, and do not guarantee future returns. Educational research only, not investment advice.